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employer_sponsored_insurance_premiums uprated by CBO employment income (per capita after the per-capita conversion), and pre_tax_health_insurance_premiums by CMS out-of-pocket spending per capita, which by CMS's own definition excludes premiums. Both are shares of employer plan premiums, so both now follow CMS NHE Table 17's employer-sponsored insurance spending per enrollee (2013-2034, 2025-2034 projections release), extended past 2034 at the 2033-2034 growth rate. The per-capita classifier now treats per_enrollee paths as per-person rates, like per_capita ones, so they are neither divided by population nor rejected as unclassified. Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5.5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
…fier - Split the ESI tests: parameter and property checks stay in tests/core; the Simulation and dataset-extension checks move to tests/microsimulation (fewer Hypothesis examples, one vectorized simulation each). - Assert the 22 published Table 17 values exactly, keeping the spending-over-enrollment consistency check. - Per-person markers count only in a path's last segment, so a marker in an ancestor folder no longer hides a national total. - Cite the methodology paper's file page 29 in the href, the ZIP as the Table 17 source, and the 2035-2100 extension endpoint. - Describe the index as a premium-growth proxy at fixed coverage per policy and roughly constant employer share. Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5.5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
health_insurance_premiums_without_medicare_part_b and other_health_insurance_premiums follow CMS ESI premium per enrollee, like pre_tax_health_insurance_premiums; health_insurance_premiums follows a new CMS direct purchase premium per enrollee series (NHE projections Table 17). CMS out-of-pocket spending excludes premiums by definition. Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5.5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
…rality Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5.5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
No dataset fills long_term_health_insurance_premiums and no CMS series measures long-term care insurance premiums; 26 U.S.C. 213(d)(10)(B) indexes the deductible limits on them by the medical care CPI. Adds gov.bls.cpi.cpi_u_medical_care: BLS annual means to 2022, CBO's February 2026 calendar-year series for 2023-2036, extended at its 2035-2036 rate. Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5.5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Adds calibration.gov.hhs.cms.medicare_part_b_premium_per_enrollee: the standard monthly premium for 2013-2026 (2026 Trustees Report Table III.C2) and the Trustees' intermediate estimates for 2027-2035 (Table V.E2), extended at the 2034-2035 rate. A premium with any income-related adjustment is a fixed multiple of the standard premium (42 U.S.C. 1395r(i)(3)). Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5.5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Core tests cover transcription, the Part B statutory components, agreement with the model's Part B premium, Hypothesis bounds and extension rules for each index; the microsimulation test covers all five inputs. The SPM methodology page says which inputs follow which premium series. Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5.5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
…uprating # Conflicts: # docs-quarto/methodology/spm-poverty.qmd # policyengine_us/parameters/uprating_extensions.py # policyengine_us/tests/core/test_per_capita_uprating.py # policyengine_us/tests/core/test_uprating_series.py # policyengine_us/tests/policy/baseline/parameters/test_uprating_extensions.py
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5.5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
The Part B standard premium, Part A premiums and deductible, and the Part B and Part D income-related adjustment amounts and thresholds held their 2026 values in every later year. - Part B standard premium and Part B IRMAA amounts uprate by the Trustees' projected standard premium (calibration series from #10085), rounded to 10 cents (42 U.S.C. 1395r(c)). - Part A full and reduced premiums uprate by the Trustees' projected Part A premium (Table V.E1), rounded to $1; the Part A deductible gains its 2026 value ($1,736) and uprates by the Trustees' projected deductible, rounded to $4 (1395e(b)(1)). - IRMAA thresholds (Parts B and D) follow 1395r(i)(5)'s CPI-U schedule, computed from the statutory amounts; the $500,000 tier is indexed from 2028. - Part D IRMAA amounts follow 1395w-113(a)(7)(B) applied to the Trustees' projected base beneficiary premium, with the (a)(9) percent of 20% from 2030; this reproduces Trustees Table V.E4 for 2027-2035. Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5.5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Property tests (Hypothesis) for statutory rounding, proportionality, monotonicity and threshold structure in every projected year; differential tests against the 2026 Trustees Report Tables V.E1-V.E4 and CMS's published 2020-2026 IRMAA thresholds; a precedence test showing a CMS amount added to the YAML replaces only its own year; and YAML household cases for 2027-2034. Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5.5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5.5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5.5 <noreply@anthropic.com>
This was referenced Oct 11, 2026
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Coordination note from #10112, which adds the 2015–2023 IRMAA schedules and the 2015–2020 standard Part B premium.
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This was referenced Oct 11, 2026
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Heads-up from #10117, which adds the 2015–2020 Part A premiums and the 2015–2023 and 2026 Part A deductibles to the same three files.
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WIP. Stacked on #10085 (base
premium-inputs-cms-uprating), which adds the Part B standard premium series this PR uprates by. It retargets tomainonce #10085 merges.gov.hhs.medicare.part_b.base_premiumstops at 2026 and has no uprating, so modeled Part B premiums, IRMAA, MSP benefits, SPM medical out-of-pocket spending and every downstream consumer hold $202.90 a month from 2027 on. The Part A premiums, the Part A deductible (still at 2025), the Part B and D IRMAA amounts and the IRMAA thresholds have the same freeze.Plan
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