diff --git a/src/content/blog/2026-09-05-frontier-closed.adoc b/src/content/blog/2026-09-05-frontier-closed.adoc index e1d9589..504fb44 100644 --- a/src/content/blog/2026-09-05-frontier-closed.adoc +++ b/src/content/blog/2026-09-05-frontier-closed.adoc @@ -25,7 +25,7 @@ bootstrap interval on the gap to the teacher: |from-scratch 30M, every lever |30M |73.95 |[70.22, 71.09] |1.0 rung |300M |8.26 |[4.6, 5.7] |lite rung (enc 12→6) |190M |5.78 |[3.03, 3.49] -|2.0 rung |300M |4.82 |[2.36, 2.82] +|2.0 rung |300M |5.08 (corrected 2026-09-05) |[2.36, 2.82] |2.1 rung |300M |4.57 |[1.91, 2.35] |teacher r7 |580M |2.29 |— |=== @@ -52,7 +52,8 @@ per-step confidence. The residual gap between the 2.1 student and its teacher had one live attribution left: classical-domain coverage. Both tests of it failed. Swapping news-domain training units for classical Tashkeela at constant -budget made the student worse (−0.98pp). Adding five times the +budget made the student worse (+0.72pp over the corrected 2.0 +control). Adding five times the classical corpus — the maximal version of the lever — left it statistically flat (4.82 vs 4.57, intervals overlapping). The residual is not a coverage deficit the corpus can reach; it lives in the diff --git a/src/pages/ml.astro b/src/pages/ml.astro index 2848145..ba12f87 100644 --- a/src/pages/ml.astro +++ b/src/pages/ml.astro @@ -338,11 +338,17 @@ const clientModels = [

What didn't move it — every rung pre-registered, measured, and kept in the log: - multi-token-prediction auxiliary 5.09 (+0.26pp); classical-register swap at constant - budget 5.81 (+0.98pp); register add at matched epochs 4.82 (flat — it cancelled the epoch - gain); on-policy GKD 6.00 (+1.18pp, the worst rung); depth-halved 5.78 (63% of the - parameters — shipped anyway as the browser tier). At SFT convergence, supervision quality - dominates. The ladder is closed. + multi-token-prediction auxiliary 5.09 (+0.26pp as measured vs the + then-published control — level with the corrected 5.08); classical-register swap at + constant budget 5.81 (+0.98pp as measured; +0.72pp over the corrected control); register + add at matched epochs 4.82 (statistically flat against news-only 4.57, intervals + overlapping — it sits between the corrected control and the news-only rung); on-policy + GKD 6.00 (+1.18pp as measured; +1.43pp over the rung it was meant to improve — the worst + measured); depth-halved 5.78 (63% of the parameters — shipped anyway as the browser + tier). At SFT convergence, supervision quality dominates. The ladder is closed. The + control's originally published 4.8218 did not reproduce and was withdrawn on + 2026-09-05; two independent re-measurements, one at the artifact level on the exact + released bytes, agree on 5.08.

Hebrew, same discipline: 16.43% DER on Biblical Hebrew, where the modern-Hebrew state of